Saturday, April 26, 2008

School Joke

A first-grade teacher, Ms Tulip (Age 28) was having trouble with one of her students.
The teacher asked," Boy, what is your problem?"Boy answered, "I'm too smart for the first-grade. My sister is in the third-grade and I'm smarter than she is! I think I should be in the third-grade too!"
Ms Tulip had enough. She took Boy. to the principal's office. While Boy. waited in the outer office, the teacher explained to the principal what the situation was.
The principal told Ms Tulip he would give the boy a test and if he failed to answer any of his questions he was to go back to the first-grade and behave. She agreed.
Boy. was brought in and the conditions were explained to him and he agreed to take the test.
Principal: "What is 3 x 3?"Boy: "9".
Principal: "What is 6 x 6?"Boy: "36".
And so it went with every question the principal thought a third-grade should know. The principal looks at Ms Tulip and tells her, "I think Boy can go to the third-grade. "
Ms Tulip says to the principal, "I have some of my own questions.Can I ask him ?" The principal and Boy both agreed.
Ms Tulip asks, "What does a cow have four of that I have only two of?Boy., after a moment "Legs."Ms
Tulip: "What is in your pants that you have but I do not have?"Boy: "Pockets."
Ms Tulip: What starts with a C and ends with a T, is hairy, oval, delicious and contains thin whitish liquid?Boy: Coconut
Ms Tulip: What goes in hard and pink then comes out soft And sticky?
The principal's eyes open really wide and before he could stop the answer, Boy. was taking charge.
Boy: Bubblegum
Ms Tulip: What does a man do standing up, a woman does sitting down and a dog does on three legs? The principal's eyes open really wide and before he could stop the answer...
Boy: Shake hands
Ms Tulip: Now I will ask some "Who am I" sort of questions, okay?Boy: Yep.
Ms Tulip: You stick your poles inside me. You tie me down to get me up. I get wet before you do.Boy: Tent
Ms Tulip: A finger goes in me. You fiddle with me when you're bored. The best man always has me first. The Principal was looking restless, a bit tense and took one large Vodka peg.Boy: Wedding Ring
Ms Tulip: I come in many sizes. When I'm not well, I drip. When you blow me, you feel good.Boy: Nose
Ms Tulip: I have a stiff shaft. My tip penetrates. I come with a quiver.Boy: Arrow
Ms Tulip: What word starts with a 'F' and ends in 'K' that means lot of heat and excitement?Boy: Fire truck
Ms Tulip: What word starts with a 'F' and ends in 'K' & if u don't get it u have to use your hand.Boy: Fork
Ms Tulip: What is it that all men have one of it's longer on some men than on others, the pope doesn't use his and a man gives it to his wife after they're married?Boy: SURNAME
Ms Tulip: What part of the man has no bone but has muscles, has lots of veins, like pumping, & is responsible for making love ?Boy: HEART.
The principal breathed a sigh of relief and said to the teacher,"Send this Boy to OXFORD UNIVERSITY EVEN I GOT THE LAST TEN QUESTION WRONG MYSELF"

Monday, April 21, 2008

(转) 评论:苹果手机缘何难进中国

http://www.sina.com.cn 2008年01月17日 00:44 21世纪经济报道

  特约评论员 赵敏渊

  近日,中移动香港发言人雷雨向媒体透露,母公司中移动集团与苹果公司关于引入炙手可热的智能手机iPhone的商谈已经终止。业内人士预计,两大巨头谈崩的原因是中移动无法接受苹果提出的高达20%-30%的分成比例。

  经历了ipod时代的苹果是不可一世的,它与并不讨人喜欢的AT&T签立了长达五年的独家销售协议,并认定人们会为了使用iphone而容忍其它任何不便之处。苹果赌对了。iphone推出后,AT&T在2007年第三季度的新增用户数比前一年增加近五成。为感提携之恩,AT&T将通信服务费中的相当一部分返回给苹果。苹果从每个iphone账户可获取每月3-18美元的提成。由于用户必须与AT&T签两年以上的合同,苹果公司从提成中的收益就将超过其手机销售的利润。

  不可一世的苹果终于碰到了不可一世的中国移动。中移动拥有比美国人口还多的用户群以及傲人的市值和增长率,自然不会轻易对苹果妥协,换言之,是这种强强对峙的格局增加了谈判的难度。

  从博弈的角度看,分成实际上是在合作双方之间的一种转移支付。转移支付的存在需要两个最起码的条件:第一,支付方从合作中得到的额外收益超过转移支付的数额;第二,接收方在收到转移支付后的总收益大于其不合作时的收益。

  这两个条件在苹果和AT&T的合作中完全成立。美国的移动通信市场一向是以运营商为主导的,用户在选定的运营商处购买手机并签订长达两年的服务合同。如果用户中途变卦,不仅要交纳高昂的违约金,手机也随之报废,所以运营商能争取到的任何一份新合同都相当珍贵。苹果的独家授权为AT&T赢得了众多新用户。AT&T的iphone用户中40%以上都是从别的网络转过来的,而这些人如果有其他选择,大多不会选择AT&T。这是独家授权带来的好处,AT&T自然心知肚明。另外,从苹果的角度看,如果不与AT&T合作而实行开放授权,iphone的销售量自然可以增加,但是这里存在着两个问题。在成本方面,目前iphone只能用于GSM网络,而美国上规模的GSM运营商只有AT&T和占市场份额11%的T-mobile,所以为了扩大销售,苹果必须另开发针对CDMA的手机。在收益方面,苹果在每个手机的销售上估计可以赚取100美元的利润,而AT&T愿意支付的分成就有二三百,相当于开放授权下三四倍的销售量。两者相比,苹果也乐得与AT&T合作。

  其实即使在独家授权的情况下,苹果也没有完全杜绝AT&T网络外的销售。虽然这半年来苹果推出了越来越严格的锁定软件,甚至不惜通过软件升级将用户偷偷解锁的iphone变成“昂贵的镇书石”,用户还是可以从苹果店里买到不入网的iphone。从某种程度上说,我们也可以把这看成一种价格歧视。对于绝大多数敏感度不高的用户,苹果通过AT&T多收了他们一点,而对于那些极少数坚决抵制AT&T的苹果迷,苹果还是实现了销售。解锁越难,对这两个市场的分割就越严格。从某种程度上看,转移支付正是来自价格歧视战略下产生的额外的垄断利润。

  再回过来看中国的移动市场。这是一个以用户为主导的市场:追求时尚的手机用户在商店挑选自己心仪的手机,然后带机入网。在一个强调选择和灵活性的市场,锁定用户的做法不仅不受欢迎,而且也做不到。(一个广为传播的数据是一个iphone在美国的解锁成本是200美元,在中国是200元人民币。)所以上面所说的市场分割很难在中国实现。如果用户的转移成本很低,不管中移动是否与苹果签独家协议,最后的结果都是一样的:只要苹果在中国卖手机,iphone在手的用户会挑选他们最中意的运营商入网,无论他们是从哪家店买的。如果中移动原来的市场份额是70%,那它很有可能还是得到70%的iphone用户,除非iphone的用户群有任何显著不同。因此,除非iphone能实现有效锁定,没有一个运营商愿意作转移支付,这与运营商大小无关。条件一不成立。那么假设苹果可以在中国实现有效锁定呢?在此情况下运营商倒是愿意支付一部分分成,原本市场份额越小的愿意支付的比例越高。但是由于中国用户对长期合同的戒心,任何锁定都会显著影响iphone的销售量,而销售量的缩小必须要更高的转移支付来补偿,条件二就会成问题。也许,苹果得因为中国而改变点什么。

Just saw a picture online -- "Big Four"

Saturday, April 5, 2008

无题 (大家共勉)

万里长城十亿兵
国耻岂待儿孙平
愿提十万虎狼旅
越马扬刀入东京

Thursday, April 3, 2008

应友人博客新帖: 俄国新opera -- Vitas

香水有毒 ----- 胡杨林



我曾经爱过这样一个男人
他说我是世上最美的女人
我为他保留着那一份天真
关上爱别人的门
也是这个被我深爱的男人
把我变成世上最笨的女人
他说的每句话我都会当真
他说最爱我的唇

我的要求并不高
待我像从前一样好
可是有一天你说了同样的话
把别人拥入怀抱

你身上有她的香水味
是我鼻子犯的罪
不该嗅到她的美
檫掉一切陪你睡
你身上有她的香水味
是你赐给的自卑
你要的爱太完美
我永远都学不会